From: Exploring and modeling recurrent birth events in Ethiopia: EMDHS 2019
Characteristics | AG model | PWP-TT model | PWP-GT model | Frailty Model |
---|---|---|---|---|
 | HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) |
Age of mothers at first birth | ||||
  < 20 (ref.) | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 |
  20–34 | 0.713 (0.614,0.828) | 1.052(0.933,1.188) | 0.852(0.733,0.992) | 0.730(0.620,0.828) |
  35–49 | 0.050 (0.006,0.090) | 0.384(0.053,2.794) | 0.189(0.00,9.024) | 0.725(0.626,0.849) |
Mother’s current marital status | ||||
  Married(ref.) | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 |
  Widowed | 1.140(0.834,1.540) | 1.059(0.822,1.363) | 0.911(0.658,1.263) | 0.977(0.705,1.356) |
  Divorced | 1.440(0.720,2.860) | 1.063(0.613,1.843) | 1.243(0.692,2.234) | 1.527(0.829,2.816) |
Place of delivery | ||||
  Home(ref.) | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 |
  Health sector | 0.886(0.768,0.997) | 0.712(0.907, 1.165) | 0.970(0.837,1.223) | 0.935(0.805,1.087) |
Residence | ||||
  Urban(ref.) | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 |
  Rural | 1.020(0.836,1.230) | 0.939(0.792,1.113) | 0.885(0.706,0.995) | 1.011(0.824,1.240) |
Mother’s education level | ||||
  No education(ref.) | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 |
  Primary | 1.210(1.010,1.460) | 1.047(0.913,1.200) | 1.049(0.885,1.245) | 0.853(0.713,1.019) |
  Secondary and above | 0.989(0.730,1.340) | 0.960(0.769,1.204) | 0.899(0.752, 1.076) | 0.892(0.710,1.130) |
Husband/partner’s education level | ||||
  Primary(ref.) | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 |
  Secondary and above | 1.200(0.945, 1.520) | 0.953(0.795,1.142) | 0.977 (0.825, 1.157) | 1.210(0.976,1.501) |
Region | ||||
  Tigray(ref.) | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 |
  Afar | 0.657 (0.438,0.987) | 1.061(0.768,1.467) | 0.960(0.640,1.442) | 0.717(0.475,1.083) |
  Amhara | 0.768(0.541,1.090) | 1.147(0.858,1.532) | 0.998(0.692,1.437) | 0.848(0.585,1.230) |
  Oromia | 0.736(0.543,0.997) | 1.074(0.830,1.389) | 0.985(0.720,1.348) | 0.782(0.567,1.080) |
  Somali | 0.850(0.598,1.210) | 1.091(0.776,1.534) | 0.888(0.593,1.329) | 0.814(0.542,1.222) |
  Benishangul | 0.833(0.614,1.130) | 1.056(0.808,1.380) | 0.957(0.694,1.320) | 0.799(0.576,1.108) |
  SNNPR | 0.942(0.698,1.270) | 1.145(0.882,1.488) | 1.296(0.943,1.781) | 0.982(0.713,1.353) |
  Gambela | 0.771(0.554,1.070) | 0.995(0.759,1.304) | 0.904(0.650,1.258) | 0.753(0.537,1.055) |
  Harari | 0.775(0.554,1.090) | 1.013(0.772,1.330) | 1.050(0.750,1.469) | 0.780(0.555,1.100) |
  Addis Ababa | 0.716(0.490,1.050) | 1.055(0.802,1.386) | 1.029(0.725,1.461) | 0.749(0.521,1.076) |
  Dire Dawa | 0.820(0.567,1.190) | 1.136(0.848,1.521) | 1.066(0.739,1.538) | 0.757(0.521,1.099) |
Religion | ||||
  Orthodox(ref.) | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 |
  Protestant | 1.230(0.971,1.560) | 1.003(0.837,1.203) | 1.078(0.857,1.358) | 1.141(0.904,1.441) |
  Muslim | 1.260(1.010,1.580) | 1.016(0.861,1.199) | 1.056(0.855,1.305) | 1.210(0.976,1.501) |
  Catholic,traditional +  | 1.03(0.586,1.810) | 0.834(0.553,1.257) | 0.864(0.528,1.413) | 1.047(0.638,1.719) |
Household size | ||||
  1–4 (small)(ref.) | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 |
  5–9 (medium) | 3.110(2.49,3.880) | 1.914(1.539,2.381) | 1.804(1.455,2.237) | 3.183(2.605,3.889) |
  10 and more (Large) | 2.660(1.870,3.770) | 1.813(1.293,2.541) | 1.880(1.352,2.613) | 2.718(1.960,3.770) |
Household wealth index | ||||
  Poorest(ref.) | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 |
  Poorer | 0.957(0.778,1.180) | 0.953(0.795,1.143) | 0.838(0.682,1.030) | 0.904(0.732,1.116) |
  Middle | 0.845(0.683,1.050) | 0.827(0.688,0.994) | 0.675(0.546,0.834) | 0.776(0.625,0.965) |
  Richer | 0.950(0.751,1.200) | 1.068(0.878,1.298) | 0.859(0.683,1.081) | 0.892(0.705,1.128) |
  Richest | 1.070(0.830,1.380) | 0.962(0.767,1.205) | 0.941(0.730,1.212) | 1.067(0.822,1.385) |
Sex of child | ||||
  Male(ref.) | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 |
  Female | 0.853(0.776,0.938) | 0.836(0.755,0.926) | 0.835(0.739,0.944) | 0.911(0.805,1.031) |
Child is alive | ||||
  Yes(ref.) | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 |
  No | 0.783(0.631,0.971) | 0.705(0.533,0.934) | 0.673(0.514,0.881) | 0.681(0.522,0.889) |
  Frailty Variance |  |  |  | 0.148 |