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Table 2 Relative and absolute riska of preterm birth of the second childb by gestational age of the first child for the study population for mothers who gave birth to their first two singleton children between 1994 and 2016 in New South Wales (N = 517,558 mothers)

From: Gestational age as a predictor for subsequent preterm birth in New South Wales, Australia

First Child

 

Preterm Birth of Second Child

Preterm Birth of Second Child

Gestational Age of Second Child

< 28 weeks

< 32 weeks

< 34 weeks

< 37 weeks

< 28 weeks

< 32 weeks

< 34 weeks

< 37 weeks

N (%)

1629 (0.31)

3688 (0.71)

6276 (1.21)

23,940 (4.63)

1629 (0.31)

3688 (0.71)

6276 (1.21)

23,940 (4.63)

Centile of Distribution

Gest. Age (weeks)

 

Relative Risk (95% Confidence Interval c)

Absolute Risk (%, 95 Confidence Interval d)

5

10

15

20

25

50

75

90

 22–30

4371 (0.8)

16.65 (13.83–19.95)

18.38 (16.27–20.71)

16.88 (15.34–18.54)

10.37 (9.79–10.96)

3.66 (3.14–4.26)

8.42 (7.63–9.28)

12.77 (11.81–13.79)

27.45 (26.15–28.80)

29

32

34

35

36

38

39

40

 31–32

2338 (0.5)

7.59 (5.38–10.38)

11.95 (9.91–14.28)

12.55 (10.92–14.35)

10.27 (9.54–11.03)

1.67 (1.22–2.27)

5.47 (4.62–6.47)

9.50 (8.37–10.75)

27.20 (25.44–29.04)

31

34

35

36

36

38

39

40

 33

2063 (0.4)

6.61 (4.47–9.39)

8.99 (7.17–11.13)

10.38 (8.83–12.11)

10.52 (9.75–11.33)

1.45 (1.02–2.07)

4.12 (3.34–5.07)

7.85 (6.77–9.09)

27.87 (25.98–29.85)

32

34

35

36

36

38

39

40

 34

3569 (0.7)

4.59 (3.21–6.35)

6.42 (5.22–7.81)

7.52 (6.49–8.66)

8.20 (7.65–8.78)

1.01 (0.73–1.39)

2.94 (2.44–3.55)

5.69 (4.97–6.50)

21.71 (20.39–23.10)

33

35

36

36

37

38

39

40

 35

6062 (1.2)

4.35 (3.27–5.68)

4.75 (3.94–5.68)

5.93 (5.21–6.73)

7.06 (6.64–7.49)

0.96 (0.74–1.23)

2.18 (1.84–2.58)

4.49 (3.99–5.04)

18.69 (17.73–19.69)

34

35

36

37

37

38

39

40

 36

12,114 (2.3)

2.55 (1.96–3.28)

3.32 (2.82–3.88)

3.80 (3.37–4.26)

5.35 (5.08–5.64)

0.56 (0.44–0.71)

1.52 (1.32–1.75)

2.87 (2.59–3.19)

14.18 (13.57–14.81)

35

36

37

37

37

38

39

40

 37

26,310 (5.1)

2.39 (1.96–2.89)

2.61 (2.29–2.97)

2.73 (2.47–3.01)

3.70 (3.53–3.87)

0.52 (0.44–0.62)

1.20 (1.07–1.34)

2.06 (1.90–2.24)

9.79 (9.44–10.16)

35

37

37

37

38

39

39

40

 38

68,508 (13.2)

1.31 (1.10–1.56)

1.61 (1.44–1.80)

1.79 (1.64–1.95)

2.29 (2.20–2.39)

0.29 (0.25–0.33)

0.74 (0.68–0.80)

1.35 (1.27–1.44)

6.08 (5.90–6.26)

36

37

38

38

38

39

40

40

 39

115,699 (22.4)

1.20 (1.03–1.40)

1.22 (1.10–1.36)

1.24 (1.14–1.34)

1.46 (1.40–1.52)

0.26 (0.24–0.30)

0.56 (0.52–0.61)

0.94 (0.88–1.00)

3.86 (3.75–3.98)

37

38

38

38

38

39

40

40

 40

168,287 (32.5)

1

1

1

1

0.22 (0.20–0.24)

0.46 (0.43–0.49)

0.76 (0.72–0.80)

2.65 (2.57–2.73)

37

38

38

38

39

39

40

41

 41

96,443 (18.6)

0.94 (0.79–1.12)

0.89 (0.79–1.00)

0.83 (0.75–0.91)

0.78 (0.74–0.82)

0.21 (0.18–0.24)

0.41 (0.37–0.45)

0.63 (0.58–0.68)

2.07 (1.98–2.16)

38

38

38

39

39

40

40

41

 42–44

11,794 (2.3)

1.00 (0.66–1.46)

1.00 (0.75–1.30)

0.87 (0.69–1.09)

0.77 (0.67–0.87)

0.22 (0.15–0.32)

0.46 (0.35–0.60)

0.66 (0.53–0.82)

2.03 (1.79–2.30)

38

38

38

39

39

40

41

41

  1. aResults reported to two decimal places, which is accurate when first child was not preterm (birth from 37 weeks). The results are accurate to 1 decimal place if the first child was preterm (birth before 37 weeks)
  2. b< 28 weeks (< 28 0/7), < 32 weeks (< 32 0/7), < 34 weeks (< 34 0/7), < 37 weeks (< 37 0/7)
  3. cProfile likelihood confidence interval
  4. dWilson score confidence interval