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Table 4 Estimated results from CRC using model

From: Estimation of the adolescent pregnancy rate in Thailand 2008–2013: an application of capture-recapture method

YearObservedPredicted95% CIEstimated95% CINumber ofAdolescent95% CI
countS000countpopulation at midyearPregnancy rate
Group 1: live birth outcome
 200898,79129,3159996, 48,635128,106108,787, 147,4262,371,58354.045.9, 62.2
 200999,14326,91110,556, 43,266126,054109,699, 142,4092,390,69552.745.9, 59.6
 2010102,89425,8199987, 41,652128,713112,881, 144,5462,399,44653.647.0, 60.2
 2011110,46226,56810,458, 42,678137,030120,920, 153,1402,413,06356.850.1, 63.5
 2012112,00330,21811,788, 48,648142,221123,791, 160,6512,404,15259.251.5, 66.8
 2013104,16028,87511,427, 46,323133,035115,587, 150,4832,380,94455.948.5, 63.2
Group 2: non-livebirth outcomes
 200813004145961, 732854452261, 86282,371,5832.31.0, 3.6
 2009258582422513, 13,97110,8275098, 16,5562,390,6954.52.1, 6.9
 2010347711,0863482, 18,68914,5636959, 22,1662,399,4466.12.9, 9.2
 2011447914,2814770, 23,79118,7609249, 28,2702,413,0637.83.8, 11.7
 2012642220,4756122, 34,82926,89712,544, 41,2512,404,15211.25.2, 17.2
 2013402812,8434090, 21,59516,8718118, 25,6232,380,9447.13.4, 10.8
Total estimate: Group 1 + Group 2
 2008100,09133,46010,957, 55,964133,551111,048, 156,0552,371,58356.346.8, 65.8
 2009101,72835,15313,069, 57,236136,881114,797, 158,9642,390,69557.348.0, 66.5
 2010106,37136,90513,469, 60,341143,276119,840, 166,7122,399,44659.749.9, 69.5
 2011114,94140,84915,228, 66,469155,790130,169, 181,4102,413,06364.653.9, 75.2
 2012118,42550,69417,910, 83,477169,119136,335, 201,9022,404,15270.356.7, 84.0
 2013108,18841,71815,517, 67,918149,906123,705, 176,1062,380,94463.052.0, 74.0