Skip to main content

Table 4 Estimated results from CRC using model

From: Estimation of the adolescent pregnancy rate in Thailand 2008–2013: an application of capture-recapture method

Year

Observed

Predicted

95% CI

Estimated

95% CI

Number of

Adolescent

95% CI

count

S000

count

population at midyear

Pregnancy rate

Group 1: live birth outcome

 2008

98,791

29,315

9996, 48,635

128,106

108,787, 147,426

2,371,583

54.0

45.9, 62.2

 2009

99,143

26,911

10,556, 43,266

126,054

109,699, 142,409

2,390,695

52.7

45.9, 59.6

 2010

102,894

25,819

9987, 41,652

128,713

112,881, 144,546

2,399,446

53.6

47.0, 60.2

 2011

110,462

26,568

10,458, 42,678

137,030

120,920, 153,140

2,413,063

56.8

50.1, 63.5

 2012

112,003

30,218

11,788, 48,648

142,221

123,791, 160,651

2,404,152

59.2

51.5, 66.8

 2013

104,160

28,875

11,427, 46,323

133,035

115,587, 150,483

2,380,944

55.9

48.5, 63.2

Group 2: non-livebirth outcomes

 2008

1300

4145

961, 7328

5445

2261, 8628

2,371,583

2.3

1.0, 3.6

 2009

2585

8242

2513, 13,971

10,827

5098, 16,556

2,390,695

4.5

2.1, 6.9

 2010

3477

11,086

3482, 18,689

14,563

6959, 22,166

2,399,446

6.1

2.9, 9.2

 2011

4479

14,281

4770, 23,791

18,760

9249, 28,270

2,413,063

7.8

3.8, 11.7

 2012

6422

20,475

6122, 34,829

26,897

12,544, 41,251

2,404,152

11.2

5.2, 17.2

 2013

4028

12,843

4090, 21,595

16,871

8118, 25,623

2,380,944

7.1

3.4, 10.8

Total estimate: Group 1 + Group 2

 2008

100,091

33,460

10,957, 55,964

133,551

111,048, 156,055

2,371,583

56.3

46.8, 65.8

 2009

101,728

35,153

13,069, 57,236

136,881

114,797, 158,964

2,390,695

57.3

48.0, 66.5

 2010

106,371

36,905

13,469, 60,341

143,276

119,840, 166,712

2,399,446

59.7

49.9, 69.5

 2011

114,941

40,849

15,228, 66,469

155,790

130,169, 181,410

2,413,063

64.6

53.9, 75.2

 2012

118,425

50,694

17,910, 83,477

169,119

136,335, 201,902

2,404,152

70.3

56.7, 84.0

 2013

108,188

41,718

15,517, 67,918

149,906

123,705, 176,106

2,380,944

63.0

52.0, 74.0