| Duration of gestation, weeks | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Crude | Adjusted | |||||||
Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3a/b | ||||||
β (95% CI) | P value | β (95% CI) | P value | β (95% CI) | P value | β (95% CI) | P value | |
In the first week | ||||||||
 Maximum temperature | ||||||||
  >30 | Ref |  | Ref |  | Ref |  | Ref |  |
  25-30 | 0.008 (-0.017, 0.033) | 0.539 | 0.003 (-0.016, 0.021) | 0.791 | -0.005 (-0.025, 0.015) | 0.598 | 0.000 (-0.020. 0.021) | 0.982a |
  20-25 | 0.007 (-0.018, 0.033) | 0.572 | 0.023 (0.004, 0.043) | 0.021 | -0.006 (-0.034, 0.021) | 0.664 | 0.009 (-0.021, 0.038) | 0.571a |
  ≤20 | 0.026 (-0.026, 0.079) | 0.322 | 0.031 (-0.009, 0.070) | 0.135 | -0.004 (-0.050, 0.041) | 0.854 | 0.006 (-0.041, 0.052) | 0.814a |
 Minimum temperature | ||||||||
  >20 | 0.026 (0.005, 0.046) | 0.013 | 0.007 (-0.008, 0.023) | 0.371 | 0.022 (0.003, 0.040) | 0.020 | 0.029 (0.008, 0.049) | 0.006 a |
  15-20 | Ref |  | Ref |  | Ref |  | Ref |  |
  10-15 | 0.004 (-0.015, 0.023) | 0.684 | 0.015 (0.001, 0.029) | 0.040 | -0.013 (-0.031, 0.007) | 0.198 | -0.018 (-0.038, 0.002) | 0.082a |
  ≤10 | 0.033 (0.008, 0.058) | 0.009 | 0.033 (0.014, 0.051) | <.001 | -0.004 (-0.029, 0.022) | 0.771 | -0.010 (-0.038, 0.018) | 0.481a |
In the first four weeks | ||||||||
 Maximum temperature | ||||||||
  >30 | Ref |  | Ref |  | Ref |  | Ref |  |
  25-30 | 0.007 (-0.020, 0.034) | 0.593 | 0.008 (-0.012, 0.029) | 0.427 | -0.003 (-0.025, 0.020) | 0.822 | 0.013 (-0.011, 0.036) | 0.305a |
  20-25 | 0.014 (-0.014, 0.042) | 0.320 | 0.030 (0.009, 0.051) | 0.006 | -0.010 (-0.042, 0.022) | 0.529 | 0.020 (-0.017, 0.056) | 0.288a |
  ≤20 | 0.054 (-0.041, 0.148) | 0.265 | 0.037 (-0.034, 0.108) | 0.310 | -0.005 (-0.082, 0.072) | 0.893 | -0.008 (-0.086, 0.069) | 0.833a |
 Minimum temperature | ||||||||
  >20 | 0.035 (0.014, 0.055) | 0.001 | 0.015 (-0.001, 0.030) | 0.063 | 0.032 (0.014, 0.051) | <.001 | 0.049 (0.026, 0.072) | <.001 a |
  15-20 | Ref |  | Ref |  | Ref |  | Ref |  |
  10-15 | 0.007 (-0.012, 0.025) | 0.470 | 0.018 (0.004, 0.032) | 0.012 | -0.010 (-0.031, 0.011) | 0.338 | -0.025 (-0.048, 0.001) | 0.051a |
  ≤10 | 0.062 (0.036, 0.088) | <.001 | 0.056 (0.036, 0.075) | <.001 | 0.017 (-0.015, 0.049) | 0.302 | -0.003 (-0.039, 0.033) | 0.882a |
In the last week | ||||||||
 Maximum temperature | ||||||||
  >30 | Ref |  | Ref |  | Ref |  | Ref |  |
  25-30 | 0.019 (-0.007, 0.044) | 0.148 | -0.006 (-0.025, 0.013) | 0.516 | -0.003 (-0.022, 0.017) | 0.796 | 0.009 (-0.012, 0.030) | 0.412b |
  20-25 | 0.006 (-0.020, 0.032) | 0.669 | -0.022 (-0.042, -0.002) | 0.029 | -0.013 (-0.042, 0.016) | 0.380 | 0.003 (-0.028, 0.033) | 0.866b |
  ≤20 | 0.002 (-0.049, 0.053) | 0.934 | -0.043 (-0.082, -0.005) | 0.029 | -0.033 (-0.080, 0.013) | 0.160 | -0.025 (-0.073, 0.023) | 0.302b |
 Minimum temperature | ||||||||
  >20 | -0.030 (-0.051, -0.009) | 0.004 | -0.010 (-0.025, 0.006) | 0.223 | -0.019 (-0.035, -0.002) | 0.033 | -0.042 (-0.061, -0.023) | <.001 b |
  15-20 | Ref |  | Ref |  | Ref |  | Ref |  |
  10-15 | -0.025 (-0.044, -0.007) | 0.008 | -0.024 (-0.038, -0.010) | <.001 | -0.014 (-0.036, 0.008) | 0.221 | -0.004 (-0.027, 0.019) | 0.732b |
  ≤10 | -0.013 (-0.038, 0.012) | 0.321 | -0.023 (-0.042, -0.004) | 0.019 | -0.010 (-0.042, 0.022) | 0.546 | -0.005 (-0.038, 0.029) | 0.777b |
In the last four weeks | ||||||||
 Maximum temperature | ||||||||
  >30 | Ref |  | Ref |  | Ref |  | Ref |  |
  25-30 | -0.002 (-0.029, 0.025) | 0.891 | -0.010 (-0.030, 0.011) | 0.345 | -0.009 (-0.031, 0.012) | 0.399 | 0.002 (-0.022, 0.025) | 0.878b |
  20-25 | -0.014 (-0.042, 0.014) | 0.338 | -0.035 (-0.056, -0.014) | 0.001 | -0.038 (-0.070, -0.005) | 0.024 | -0.022 (-0.058, 0.014) | 0.224b |
  ≤20 | -0.030 (-0.125, 0.066) | 0.544 | -0.038 (-0.110, 0.034) | 0.302 | -0.044 (-0.122, 0.033) | 0.264 | -0.031 (-0.110, 0.049) | 0.449b |
 Minimum temperature | ||||||||
  >20 | -0.022 (-0.042, -0.002) | 0.034 | -0.002 (-0.017, 0.014) | 0.815 | -0.003 (-0.021, 0.014) | 0.715 | -0.030 (-0.052, -0.008) | 0.007 b |
  15-20 | Ref |  | Ref |  | Ref |  | Ref |  |
  10-15 | -0.028 (-0.046, -0.009) | 0.003 | -0.029 (-0.043, -0.016) | <.001 | -0.039 (-0.062, -0.016) | 0.001 | -0.024 (-0.050, 0.001) | 0.061b |
  ≤10 | -0.021 (-0.047, -0.006) | 0.008 | -0.029 (-0.050, -0.008) | 0.007 | -0.043 (-0.078, -0.009) | 0.014 | -0.018 (-0.057, -0.004) | 0.041 b |