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Table 3 Association of ambient temperature at conception/delivery with duration of gestation in Brisbane, 2000-2010 (n=237,585)

From: Exploring associations of maternal exposure to ambient temperature with duration of gestation and birth weight: a prospective study

 

Duration of gestation, weeks

Crude

Adjusted

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3a/b

β (95% CI)

P value

β (95% CI)

P value

β (95% CI)

P value

β (95% CI)

P value

In the first week

 Maximum temperature

  >30

Ref

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

  25-30

0.008 (-0.017, 0.033)

0.539

0.003 (-0.016, 0.021)

0.791

-0.005 (-0.025, 0.015)

0.598

0.000 (-0.020. 0.021)

0.982a

  20-25

0.007 (-0.018, 0.033)

0.572

0.023 (0.004, 0.043)

0.021

-0.006 (-0.034, 0.021)

0.664

0.009 (-0.021, 0.038)

0.571a

  ≤20

0.026 (-0.026, 0.079)

0.322

0.031 (-0.009, 0.070)

0.135

-0.004 (-0.050, 0.041)

0.854

0.006 (-0.041, 0.052)

0.814a

 Minimum temperature

  >20

0.026 (0.005, 0.046)

0.013

0.007 (-0.008, 0.023)

0.371

0.022 (0.003, 0.040)

0.020

0.029 (0.008, 0.049)

0.006 a

  15-20

Ref

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

  10-15

0.004 (-0.015, 0.023)

0.684

0.015 (0.001, 0.029)

0.040

-0.013 (-0.031, 0.007)

0.198

-0.018 (-0.038, 0.002)

0.082a

  ≤10

0.033 (0.008, 0.058)

0.009

0.033 (0.014, 0.051)

<.001

-0.004 (-0.029, 0.022)

0.771

-0.010 (-0.038, 0.018)

0.481a

In the first four weeks

 Maximum temperature

  >30

Ref

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

  25-30

0.007 (-0.020, 0.034)

0.593

0.008 (-0.012, 0.029)

0.427

-0.003 (-0.025, 0.020)

0.822

0.013 (-0.011, 0.036)

0.305a

  20-25

0.014 (-0.014, 0.042)

0.320

0.030 (0.009, 0.051)

0.006

-0.010 (-0.042, 0.022)

0.529

0.020 (-0.017, 0.056)

0.288a

  ≤20

0.054 (-0.041, 0.148)

0.265

0.037 (-0.034, 0.108)

0.310

-0.005 (-0.082, 0.072)

0.893

-0.008 (-0.086, 0.069)

0.833a

 Minimum temperature

  >20

0.035 (0.014, 0.055)

0.001

0.015 (-0.001, 0.030)

0.063

0.032 (0.014, 0.051)

<.001

0.049 (0.026, 0.072)

<.001 a

  15-20

Ref

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

  10-15

0.007 (-0.012, 0.025)

0.470

0.018 (0.004, 0.032)

0.012

-0.010 (-0.031, 0.011)

0.338

-0.025 (-0.048, 0.001)

0.051a

  ≤10

0.062 (0.036, 0.088)

<.001

0.056 (0.036, 0.075)

<.001

0.017 (-0.015, 0.049)

0.302

-0.003 (-0.039, 0.033)

0.882a

In the last week

 Maximum temperature

  >30

Ref

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

  25-30

0.019 (-0.007, 0.044)

0.148

-0.006 (-0.025, 0.013)

0.516

-0.003 (-0.022, 0.017)

0.796

0.009 (-0.012, 0.030)

0.412b

  20-25

0.006 (-0.020, 0.032)

0.669

-0.022 (-0.042, -0.002)

0.029

-0.013 (-0.042, 0.016)

0.380

0.003 (-0.028, 0.033)

0.866b

  ≤20

0.002 (-0.049, 0.053)

0.934

-0.043 (-0.082, -0.005)

0.029

-0.033 (-0.080, 0.013)

0.160

-0.025 (-0.073, 0.023)

0.302b

 Minimum temperature

  >20

-0.030 (-0.051, -0.009)

0.004

-0.010 (-0.025, 0.006)

0.223

-0.019 (-0.035, -0.002)

0.033

-0.042 (-0.061, -0.023)

<.001 b

  15-20

Ref

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

  10-15

-0.025 (-0.044, -0.007)

0.008

-0.024 (-0.038, -0.010)

<.001

-0.014 (-0.036, 0.008)

0.221

-0.004 (-0.027, 0.019)

0.732b

  ≤10

-0.013 (-0.038, 0.012)

0.321

-0.023 (-0.042, -0.004)

0.019

-0.010 (-0.042, 0.022)

0.546

-0.005 (-0.038, 0.029)

0.777b

In the last four weeks

 Maximum temperature

  >30

Ref

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

  25-30

-0.002 (-0.029, 0.025)

0.891

-0.010 (-0.030, 0.011)

0.345

-0.009 (-0.031, 0.012)

0.399

0.002 (-0.022, 0.025)

0.878b

  20-25

-0.014 (-0.042, 0.014)

0.338

-0.035 (-0.056, -0.014)

0.001

-0.038 (-0.070, -0.005)

0.024

-0.022 (-0.058, 0.014)

0.224b

  ≤20

-0.030 (-0.125, 0.066)

0.544

-0.038 (-0.110, 0.034)

0.302

-0.044 (-0.122, 0.033)

0.264

-0.031 (-0.110, 0.049)

0.449b

 Minimum temperature

  >20

-0.022 (-0.042, -0.002)

0.034

-0.002 (-0.017, 0.014)

0.815

-0.003 (-0.021, 0.014)

0.715

-0.030 (-0.052, -0.008)

0.007 b

  15-20

Ref

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

Ref

 

  10-15

-0.028 (-0.046, -0.009)

0.003

-0.029 (-0.043, -0.016)

<.001

-0.039 (-0.062, -0.016)

0.001

-0.024 (-0.050, 0.001)

0.061b

  ≤10

-0.021 (-0.047, -0.006)

0.008

-0.029 (-0.050, -0.008)

0.007

-0.043 (-0.078, -0.009)

0.014

-0.018 (-0.057, -0.004)

0.041 b

  1. Model 1: adjusted for maternal age at delivery, indigenous status, maternal marital status, mode of labor onset, parity, baby’s gender, and birth weight
  2. Model 2: further adjusted for relative humidity and air pressure around conception and delivery, along with all air pollutants (PM10, O3, NO2, and SO2) around conception and delivery
  3. Model 3a: model 2 adjustment plus calendar month at delivery, as well as maximum temperature and minimum temperature around delivery
  4. Model 3b: model 2 adjustment plus calendar month at delivery, as well as maximum temperature and minimum temperature around conception