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Table 2 Area under the curve, accuracy, and the three most important predictors for the prediction of small for gestational age (SGA) birth using logistic regression and five machine learning methods pre-pregnancy and at 26 weeks in primiparous and multiparous women

From: Comparison of logistic regression with machine learning methods for the prediction of fetal growth abnormalities: a retrospective cohort study

 

Pre-pregnancy

26 weeks

LR

EN

CT

RF

GB

NN

LR

EN

CT

RF

GB

NN

SGA - Primiparae

 Area under the curve

0.592

0.598

0.569

0.601

0.609

0.600

0.662

0.661

0.627

0.650

0.665

0.660

 Accuracy

0.839

0.845

0.815

0.841

0.851

0.841

0.847

0.849

0.829

0.844

0.846

0.849

 Maternal age

 

       

 Area-level income quintile

     

      

 Pre-pregnancy smoking

    

 Pre-pregnancy BMI

 

   

 

 Pre-existing hypertension

 

   

 

   

 Gravidity

        

  

 Weight gain at 26 wks

      

 

 

 Smoking in pregnancy

      

 

 

 Pregnancy-induced hypertension

       

   

SGA – Multiparae

 Area under the curve

0.741

0.744

0.711

0.715

0.728

0.741

0.771

0.771

0.713

0.745

0.766

0.772

 Accuracy

0.905

0.903

0.916

0.897

0.902

0.906

0.912

0.912

0.801

0.903

0.911

0.914

 Pre-pregnancy smoking

 

 

    

 Pre-pregnancy BMI

 

   

 

 Pre-existing hypertension

 

          

 Previous LBW infant

 

 

 

 

 Previous infant > 4080 g

  

 

  

  

 Previous preterm delivery < 29 wks

     

      

 Weight gain at 26 wks

      

 

 

 Smoking in pregnancy

      

   

 

 Pregnancy-induced hypertension

       

   

  1. Abbreviations: BMI body mass index, CT classification tree, EN elastic net, GB gradient boosting, LBW low birth weight, LR logistic regression, NN neural network, RF random forest, wks weeks