Modeling maternal mortality in Bangladesh: the role of misoprostol in postpartum hemorrhage prevention

Table 4 Mean number of PPH specific maternal deaths and associated PPH specific and overall MMRs in a hypothetical population of 100,000 Bangladeshi women who delivered live births at home across 4 scenarios modeled using Crystal Ball

Scenario	Misoprostol coverage	Mean number of PPH deaths/PPH specific MMR	Range of number of PPH deaths	SD of the sample mean	Expected number of all other maternal deaths¹	Overall MMR¹	Estimated number of maternal deaths²
Project level	69%	40	15-76	8.01	134	174	5,286
No misoprostol	0%	51	25-85	9.30	134	185	5,620
Low misoprostol	40%	45	20-83	8.26	134	179	5,438
High misoprostol	80%	38	17-70	7.04	134	172	5,225

¹Calculated from BMMS MMRs (overall MMR, 194; overall MMR excluding PPH specific MMR, 134) with the assumption that all other causes of death happened at the same level as BMMS.
²Based on recent estimate of 3,038,000 annual births [38].

ISSN: 1471-2393